Mathematical modeling and forecasting of seasonal characteristics of tourist flow
نویسندگان
چکیده
The article describes the flow of tourists to Republic Uzbekistan and methods analysis forecasting based on econometric modeling development process its seasonal characteristics. Econometric developed by foreign local scientists were analyzed divided into groups analyze changing predict future number. Among them, additive model in group time series reflecting seasonality tourist was found meet conditions. Based data obtained quarters for 2014-2018, values trend (T), (S), random (E) components calculated step step, an developed. model, forecast next quarter determined, deviation from actual value theoretical result 20%, occurrence this clarified. Forecasts changes statistics tourism sector have been flows modeling.
منابع مشابه
Mathematical Modeling of Flow in a Granular Permeable Bed Channel
In this research, a two-dimensional mathematical model using turbulence model was developed in a rectangular channel with granular permeable bed. Finite volume method was used for numerical solution of governing equations. The equations considered are discretized using Hybrid difference scheme while applying SIMPLE algorithm to correct velocity components in the continuity equation. In the dev...
متن کاملeffect of bataine and sulphate supplement on wool and milk characteristics and lambs performance in naine ewes
تعداد 20 رأس میش نژاد نائینی 6+-24 ماهه، با میانگین وزن 2/3-+40 کیلوگرم، همراه با 20 رأس بره های آنها در قالب طرح کاملا تصادفی اثر بتائین و مکمل سولفات بر خصوصیات شیر و پشم و عملکرد بره ها بررسی شد. میش ها بطور تصادفی در چهار تیمار قرار گرفتند. تیمارها عبارت بودند از: 1-گروه شاهد 2-بتائین (05/0 درصد ماده خشک) 3-سولفات (24/0 سولفور درصد ماده خشک 4-بتائین هرماه با سولفات. جیره غذائی طبق nrc با مح...
15 صفحه اولvalidation of a revised logical-mathematical intelligence scale and exploring its relationship with english language proficiency
نظریه هوش چندگانه قسمتهای متفاوت هوش بشری را مورد بررسی قرار می دهد که با شناخت آن شخص به درک بهتری از توانایی های خود میرسد و در نتیجه سعی در استفاده از آن جهت یادگیری بهتر میکند. همچنین با شناخت استعداد دانش آموزان، فرایند یادگیری بهتر میشود. هدف از انجام دادن این تحقیق بررسی رابطه بین هوش ریاضی و استعداد یادگیری زبان انگلیسی میباشد. برای انجام این تحقیق از پرسشنامه هوش ریاضی که توسط شیرر در ...
scour modeling piles of kambuzia industrial city bridge using hec-ras and artificial neural network
today, scouring is one of the important topics in the river and coastal engineering so that the most destruction in the bridges is occurred due to this phenomenon. whereas the bridges are assumed as the most important connecting structures in the communications roads in the country and their importance is doubled while floodwater, thus exact design and maintenance thereof is very crucial. f...
Project Cash Flow Forecasting: a Mathematical Approach
A proactive approach to project cash flow management relies heavily on the use of a forecasting model that is, on the one hand, capable of generating reasonably accurate forecasts and, on the other hand, offers the flexibility which enables the financial manager to challenge the outcome of the forecast in the direction of corporate financial objectives of the organization. The latter was the su...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: E3S web of conferences
سال: 2021
ISSN: ['2555-0403', '2267-1242']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/202126401042